Friday, August 19, 2016

Study: Juvenile sexual recidivism less than 3%

A new report confirms what is previously known - that the recidivism rate for juvenile sex offenders is very low. Research by Michael Caldwell of the University of Wisconsin-Madison found that rate to likely be less than three percent.
In the Online First Publication of “Quantifying the Decline in Juvenile Sexual Recidivism Rates,” (Psychology, Public Policy, and Law; July 18, 2016), Dr. Caldwell reviews 106 international recidivism studies involving more than 33,000 juveniles who have sexually offended.  After transparently controlling for variations between studies, Caldwell determined that the mean five-year sexual recidivism rate for offenses committed over the last 30 years is less than 5%.  Looking at the most recent 33 studies, since 2000, Caldwell determined “a mean sexual recidivism rate of 2.75%.  This suggests that the most current sexual recidivism rate is likely to be below 3%.”  Longer follow-up periods, up to 36 months, revealed more sexual recidivism; but thereafter, follow-up times did not significantly increase recidivism rates.
Read more about the report here.


1 comment:

  1. first of all I would like to point out that these studies that were evaluated fall under adversarial alliance rules in plain terms they need to be evaluated separately on the number of different levels not just the data it's strange that when we look at the re-offense rates according to people who run treatment programs and people who are following selected prisoners for short periods of time the numbers always come out higher and yet here in Nebraska when we looked at the re-offense rate for the entire registry the Nebraska registry study of 2013 showed a re-offense rate of 6/10 of 1% for the registry as a whole anybody that wants to say their treatment program is effective had better come up with a better re-offense rate than 6/10 of 1% anyone who wants to track individuals and yet refuses to track the entire registry is deluding themselves it doesn't matter if one group or the other has a 1/10 of 1% higher re-offense rate than the other we are all in the same boat and the registry as a whole needs to disappear because there is no high re-offense rate to justify it

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